The Gulf crisis in the global setting

 Brian M Downing  The United States has shifted its attention away from Iraq, Afghanistan and other parts of the world and firmly fixed it on Iran. Along with this has come a buildup of naval, air and ground forces to pressure and perhaps even attack Iran over fears its nuclear Read More …

The consequences of war with Iran for Saudi Arabia

 Brian M Downing  Discussion of a possible war between Iran and the coalition aligning against it centers on destroying Iranian nuclear sites and ensuring that oil tankers freely transit the Strait of Hormuz. Countries embarking on war scrutinize as many scenarios and possibilities as they can, but wars invariably present Read More …

War, mullahs, and the revolutionary guard in Iran

Brian M Downing  The United States and other powers are seeking to change the government of Iran from the present mullah-centered authoritarianism to a representative government, or at least to a government more acceptable to regional powers. This objective is being pursued amid a program of sanctions and violent attacks, Read More …

Prospects of a military coup in Syria?

Brian M Downing  The uprising in Syria has in the last week become much more violent and the Assad government is tottering.  Civilians have obtained weapons and begun an armed resistance.  Syrian soldiers are deserting and forming a Free Syrian Army.  Fighting is breaking out between the Sunni majority and Read More …

Vietnam and the New American Way of War

Brian M Downing  Here was a new generation . . . grown up to find all Gods dead, all wars fought, all faiths in man shaken.  – F Scott Fitzgerald Baghdad falls to US forces. – 2003 headline When Saigon fell and the last Huey was pushed overboard into the Read More …

Egypt and Iran After Mubarak

Brian M Downing The remarkable rising against Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has roused interest throughout the world. Interest is especially keen in Iran, where official statements and propaganda have been aimed at the so-called Arab Street for many years now. Egyptians did not need a foreign agit-prop campaign to know Read More …

Sources of insurgent support in Afghanistan

 Brian M Downing Discussion of Afghanistan policy is not being conducted with an adequate understanding of the insurgency there. Insurgents are considered akin to a crime syndicate that has expanded its influence through intimidation and violence, or to a religious cult that spreads through hortatory oration. These views are partly Read More …

The failure of counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

A successful counter-insurgency program requires a coherent government to implement it. Though resting on a few elementary premises, counter-insurgency entails coordination of an unwieldy number of bureaus that are not likely to have worked well together before. Counter-insurgency also requires reliable army and militias as local security must be established Read More …

A failure of state and military in Afghanistan

Brian M Downing  A successful counter-insurgency program requires a coherent government to implement it. Though resting on a few elementary premises, counter-insurgency entails coordination of an unwieldy number of bureaus that are not likely to have worked well together before. Counter-insurgency also requires reliable army and militias as local security Read More …

An Eastern European Treaty Organization?

Brian M Downing  As the Russian presence in Georgia continues, the countries of Eastern Europe should be deeply concerned over their security situation vis-à-vis their former occupier and imperial ruler.  They should not only be alarmed by a resurgent Russia flush with oil wealth and restored military prestige, but also Read More …