From Syria with vengeance

Brian M Downing This week’s assassination of the Russian ambassador to Turkey has highlighted the international complexities and domestic consequences of the Syrian civil war. The assassin, a young policeman, denounced Russia’s role in the battle of Aleppo and added praise for jihad, presumably against Russia and its regional partners. Read More …

Can Assad retake Syria?

Brian M Downing Once Aleppo is completely taken and reasonably secure, Assad and Putin will turn their attention to the last rebel city in the west, Idlib. Their tactics of intensive airstrikes followed by ground assaults are effective, if inhumane. The rebels have no protection from Russian aircraft. Their foreign Read More …

Egypt comes down hard – and clumsily

Egypt comes down hard – and clumsily Brian M Downing Amnesty International reported this week that Egyptian security and judicial authorities are responsible for torturing and disappearing hundreds of dissidents. Egypt has long had trouble with terrorism. The assassination of Anwar Sadat in 1981and frequent attacks on tourist sites are the Read More …

The view from Tehran

Brian M Downing  The Iranian nuclear talks ended without agreement, except to extend the deadline on negotiations until next July. Over the next few months, world events may change the positions of the powers involved. The pause also offers time to better understand each power’s viewpoint.  Each country, including Iran, Read More …

Cohesion and disintegration in the war for Iraq, 2014

Brian M Downing  In June of 2014, well equipped Iraqi troops, trained by the US and other powers, collapsed before a smaller and less well equipped force led by men who had little military experience until they plunged into wars in Iraq and Syria. Shadows of doubt have been cast Read More …

US looks for help against IS in Syria

 Brian M Downing  The astonishing and alarming Islamic State (IS) drive into northern Iraq and Kurdistan has led to American airstrikes and also to arms sales and additional support from Britain, France, and Germany to defeat the militants. The US response comes amid considerable criticism over the Obama administration’s less Read More …

An unwelcome turn coming in the Arab Spring?

Brian M Downing The remarkable uprisings across the Arab world of the last sixteen months have ousted or imperiled leaders in several countries, including Egypt, Yemen, and Syria.  None of these movements, however, has been successful in its goal of creating a new political system let alone a democratic one.  Read More …